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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.50+2.78vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College-0.57+7.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.12+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.67+1.90vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.33-0.69vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.53+0.34vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.53+2.19vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.15+0.28vs Predicted
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9Boston College0.16-1.66vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.22-1.49vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.34-6.73vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-2.11+0.94vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-0.97vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.39-5.08vs Predicted
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15Bates College-3.29-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Northeastern University1.500.2%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.66Dartmouth College1.120.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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4.31Bowdoin College1.330.2%1st Place
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6.34Bowdoin College0.530.1%1st Place
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9.19Maine Maritime Academy-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.28Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.34Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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8.51Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
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4.27Bowdoin College1.340.2%1st Place
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12.94University of New Hampshire-2.110.0%1st Place
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12.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.92Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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14.23Bates College-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Bullock | 19.2% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Harry Bryan | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 15.1% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Conover | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Skye Johnson | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Stevens | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Keenan | 16.2% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 40.2% | 18.3% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 25.1% | 25.7% | 9.5% |
| John O'Connell | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Logan Ray | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 16.4% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.