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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.33+3.21vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.53+4.20vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.12+1.70vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.22+4.44vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.53+4.27vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.50-2.19vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.34-2.77vs Predicted
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8Boston College0.16-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.67-3.12vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.39-0.99vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.15-2.70vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+0.05vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-2.11-0.16vs Predicted
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14Bates College-3.29+0.28vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College-0.57-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Bowdoin College1.330.2%1st Place
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6.2Bowdoin College0.530.1%1st Place
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4.7Dartmouth College1.120.1%1st Place
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8.44Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.27Maine Maritime Academy-0.530.0%1st Place
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3.81Northeastern University1.500.2%1st Place
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4.23Bowdoin College1.340.2%1st Place
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7.41Boston College0.160.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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9.01Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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12.84University of New Hampshire-2.110.0%1st Place
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14.28Bates College-3.290.0%1st Place
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9.37Dartmouth College-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ladd | 15.6% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Conover | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Bryan | 13.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Stevens | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Skye Johnson | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 18.3% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Keenan | 16.8% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Colin Shearley | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 25.9% | 26.2% | 7.9% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 17.2% | 37.8% | 19.2% |
| Logan Ray | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 17.1% | 69.3% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.