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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.34+3.14vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.53+4.14vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.33+1.13vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College-0.57+5.38vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.12-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.67-0.10vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.50-3.22vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.15+0.28vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.53+0.29vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.39-1.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+0.95vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.22-3.37vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.16-5.43vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-2.11-1.21vs Predicted
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15Bates College-3.29-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Bowdoin College1.340.2%1st Place
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6.14Bowdoin College0.530.1%1st Place
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4.13Bowdoin College1.330.2%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.83Dartmouth College1.120.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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3.78Northeastern University1.500.2%1st Place
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8.28Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.29Maine Maritime Academy-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.97Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.63Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
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7.57Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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12.79University of New Hampshire-2.110.0%1st Place
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14.21Bates College-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Keenan | 17.0% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Conover | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 17.4% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Harry Bryan | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 20.3% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Skye Johnson | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| John O'Connell | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 23.8% | 25.1% | 10.6% |
| Harrison Stevens | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 16.1% | 38.9% | 17.5% |
| Logan Ray | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 14.5% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.