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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.03+2.20vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.08-0.04vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+0.09vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend0.24-1.03vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-1.35-0.02vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.47-0.94vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Syracuse University-0.030.2%1st Place
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1.96Queen's University1.080.4%1st Place
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3.09Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.2%1st Place
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2.97Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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4.98Mercyhurst University-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.06Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.73Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Whitman | 15.3% | 20.4% | 20.7% | 22.2% | 15.3% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| James Fair | 44.2% | 29.9% | 15.3% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 15.3% | 20.3% | 25.1% | 23.3% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Farrar | 19.1% | 20.3% | 23.2% | 22.3% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Fritts | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 28.9% | 37.2% | 7.1% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 25.8% | 41.2% | 6.7% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 8.7% | 85.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.