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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+1.92vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+1.27vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.08-1.06vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-0.89vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-1.35-0.03vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.47-0.95vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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3.27Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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1.94Queen's University1.080.4%1st Place
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3.11Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.2%1st Place
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4.97Mercyhurst University-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.05Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.73Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 20.1% | 22.4% | 22.0% | 20.6% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Alexa Whitman | 13.7% | 17.0% | 25.5% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| James Fair | 43.4% | 31.3% | 16.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 16.3% | 20.5% | 20.7% | 25.0% | 13.7% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Fritts | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 28.1% | 37.3% | 7.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 13.6% | 24.9% | 41.7% | 6.7% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.