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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+2.05vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.24+0.93vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.08-1.07vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.03-0.69vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-1.35-0.02vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.47-0.94vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.2%1st Place
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2.93Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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1.93Queen's University1.080.4%1st Place
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3.31Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.98Mercyhurst University-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.06Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.73Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 17.6% | 20.9% | 23.1% | 20.7% | 12.6% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Anthony Farrar | 18.6% | 21.3% | 26.0% | 20.1% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| James Fair | 44.3% | 29.9% | 16.3% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 13.3% | 18.3% | 20.2% | 26.3% | 16.4% | 5.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Fritts | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 29.5% | 36.5% | 7.2% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 13.8% | 25.1% | 41.8% | 6.7% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 85.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.