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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+7.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+7.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+4.38vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+5.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+4.35vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.36+5.59vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.89+6.98vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92+0.71vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.91vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.83vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-3.57vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-3.84vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.02vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.80-5.56vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.14-3.49vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.30-5.39vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.67-7.94vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.63-8.86vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University2.54-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.35Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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13.98Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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8.71Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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15.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.51University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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11.61Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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10.06Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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15.16Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.9% |
| William Bailey | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 32.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Michael Grove | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Hans Henken | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| David Harrison | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.