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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.08+0.98vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.47+3.05vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.24-0.06vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.03-0.70vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-1.88vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78+0.81vs Predicted
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7Mercyhurst University-1.35-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Queen's University1.080.5%1st Place
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5.05Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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2.94Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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3.3Syracuse University-0.030.2%1st Place
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3.12Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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6.81Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
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4.8Mercyhurst University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Fair | 46.1% | 25.9% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 25.8% | 42.2% | 6.4% |
| Anthony Farrar | 17.2% | 24.1% | 24.0% | 19.8% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 15.1% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 23.0% | 17.4% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 13.8% | 22.9% | 23.1% | 23.1% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 7.0% | 89.0% |
| Jacob Fritts | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 28.9% | 36.0% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.