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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+1.92vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+1.06vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.08-1.07vs Predicted
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4Mercyhurst University-1.35+0.96vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.03-1.66vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.47-0.95vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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3.06Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.2%1st Place
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1.93Queen's University1.080.5%1st Place
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4.96Mercyhurst University-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.34Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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5.05Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.73Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 19.6% | 23.3% | 23.0% | 18.0% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 15.7% | 21.6% | 23.9% | 22.6% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| James Fair | 45.5% | 28.6% | 15.8% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fritts | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 28.3% | 37.3% | 6.4% |
| Alexa Whitman | 12.7% | 17.2% | 22.9% | 24.7% | 16.6% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 24.9% | 42.6% | 6.5% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.