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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University-0.65+1.35vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.04vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-1.07-0.20vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.82-0.38vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42+1.44vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.70-1.49vs Predicted
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7Mercyhurst University-5.29-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Queen's University-0.650.3%1st Place
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1.96Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.4%1st Place
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2.8Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
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3.62Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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6.44Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
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4.51Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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6.31Mercyhurst University-5.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle Pirie | 28.9% | 30.2% | 22.6% | 14.2% | 4.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 42.6% | 29.6% | 18.9% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 16.8% | 22.6% | 32.7% | 19.8% | 7.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 8.5% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 35.8% | 23.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 4.6% | 38.9% | 54.4% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 19.6% | 53.5% | 10.4% | 1.1% |
| Moira Sullivan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 47.5% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.