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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.72vs Predicted
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2Queen's University-0.650.00vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-2.70+0.87vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.82-0.95vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-5.29+1.53vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-4.08-0.74vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-5.67-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.5%1st Place
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2.0Queen's University-0.650.3%1st Place
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3.87Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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3.05Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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6.53Mercyhurst University-5.290.0%1st Place
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5.26Penn State Behrend-4.080.0%1st Place
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6.7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Pittsburgh-5.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 50.5% | 31.5% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elle Pirie | 32.8% | 40.7% | 20.3% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 4.9% | 7.7% | 17.1% | 43.2% | 20.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 9.8% | 16.6% | 40.6% | 26.0% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Moira Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 12.6% | 25.2% | 31.7% | 24.7% |
| Aidan Kelly | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 12.8% | 40.0% | 26.3% | 10.4% | 3.4% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 11.0% | 21.7% | 28.2% | 33.7% |
| Murray Topilow | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 8.7% | 20.5% | 28.6% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.