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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University-1.82+1.88vs Predicted
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2Queen's University-0.65-0.19vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-2.70+0.75vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01-1.84vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42+1.26vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-4.08-0.91vs Predicted
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7Mercyhurst University-5.29-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Penn State University-1.820.2%1st Place
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1.81Queen's University-0.650.5%1st Place
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3.75Syracuse University-2.700.1%1st Place
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2.16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.3%1st Place
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6.26Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
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5.09Penn State Behrend-4.080.0%1st Place
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6.06Mercyhurst University-5.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Mascia | 15.6% | 20.3% | 34.0% | 22.1% | 7.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elle Pirie | 45.9% | 33.4% | 15.5% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 6.6% | 8.1% | 17.8% | 44.1% | 18.9% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| John Wynne | 30.0% | 35.1% | 24.7% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 12.2% | 32.1% | 50.8% |
| Aidan Kelly | 1.3% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 12.4% | 45.8% | 25.3% | 8.3% |
| Moira Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 14.0% | 37.8% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.