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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University-1.82+1.90vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01+0.12vs Predicted
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3Queen's University-0.65-1.23vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-2.70-0.21vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-4.08+0.10vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42+0.24vs Predicted
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7Mercyhurst University-5.29-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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2.12Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.3%1st Place
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1.77Queen's University-0.650.5%1st Place
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3.79Syracuse University-2.700.1%1st Place
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5.1Penn State Behrend-4.080.0%1st Place
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6.24Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
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6.08Mercyhurst University-5.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Mascia | 13.8% | 21.8% | 33.1% | 25.0% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Wynne | 31.7% | 34.7% | 24.9% | 7.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elle Pirie | 47.8% | 32.2% | 15.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 5.1% | 8.4% | 18.1% | 43.8% | 20.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Kelly | 1.0% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 12.6% | 45.7% | 25.2% | 8.6% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 12.7% | 33.5% | 49.1% |
| Moira Sullivan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 14.2% | 36.5% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.