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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.70vs Predicted
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2Queen's University-0.65-0.04vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.82+0.10vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-2.700.00vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-4.08+0.42vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-4.05-0.62vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.5%1st Place
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1.96Queen's University-0.650.4%1st Place
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3.1Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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4.0Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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5.42Penn State Behrend-4.080.0%1st Place
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5.38Mercyhurst University-4.050.0%1st Place
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6.44Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 50.1% | 33.5% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elle Pirie | 36.4% | 38.5% | 18.9% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 8.8% | 17.6% | 40.1% | 24.2% | 7.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 3.1% | 7.2% | 18.0% | 39.5% | 23.3% | 8.2% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Kelly | 0.6% | 1.3% | 4.1% | 12.5% | 28.8% | 36.5% | 16.2% |
| Tabea Wieland | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 12.2% | 30.5% | 36.6% | 14.6% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 8.7% | 17.2% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.