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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.20+2.27vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.67+2.22vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.03+0.02vs Predicted
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4Case Western Reserve University-0.30-0.67vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.22+1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.40-2.44vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-2.92+0.62vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-2.98-0.36vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.72-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Ohio State University-0.200.2%1st Place
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4.22Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.02Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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3.33Case Western Reserve University-0.300.2%1st Place
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6.52Ohio State University-2.220.0%1st Place
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3.56University of Michigan-0.400.2%1st Place
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7.62Hillsdale College-2.920.0%1st Place
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7.64Saginaw Valley State University-2.980.0%1st Place
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5.82Purdue University-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson Becker | 20.9% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Finn Mahoney | 9.5% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Mason Shaw | 24.0% | 20.3% | 20.0% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Liu | 20.0% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Avery | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 22.6% | 23.5% | 14.6% |
| Lila Torresen | 15.5% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alya MacManaway | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 15.8% | 28.8% | 38.3% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 14.1% | 27.2% | 40.8% |
| Megan Pedersen | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 21.8% | 23.8% | 14.9% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.