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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.03+2.01vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.67+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.40+0.61vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.20-0.86vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.22+1.53vs Predicted
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6Case Western Reserve University-0.30-2.61vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.72-1.11vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-2.98-0.38vs Predicted
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9Hillsdale College-2.92-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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4.23Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Michigan-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.14Ohio State University-0.200.2%1st Place
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6.53Ohio State University-2.220.0%1st Place
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3.39Case Western Reserve University-0.300.2%1st Place
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5.89Purdue University-1.720.0%1st Place
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7.62Saginaw Valley State University-2.980.0%1st Place
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7.58Hillsdale College-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 23.8% | 22.0% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Finn Mahoney | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Lila Torresen | 16.9% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Becker | 22.1% | 19.9% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Avery | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 24.5% | 21.7% | 15.1% |
| Andrew Liu | 17.7% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Megan Pedersen | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 23.5% | 23.2% | 15.4% | 5.5% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 14.2% | 28.0% | 39.9% |
| Alya MacManaway | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 14.9% | 28.1% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.