← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Case Western Reserve University-0.30+2.42vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University-0.20+1.44vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-0.03-0.01vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan-0.40-0.47vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-2.22+1.50vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-1.72-0.16vs Predicted
-
7Miami University-0.67-2.92vs Predicted
-
8Saginaw Valley State University-2.98-0.36vs Predicted
-
9Hillsdale College-2.92-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.42Case Western Reserve University-0.300.2%1st Place
-
3.44Ohio State University-0.200.2%1st Place
-
2.99Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
-
3.53University of Michigan-0.400.2%1st Place
-
6.5Ohio State University-2.220.0%1st Place
-
5.84Purdue University-1.720.0%1st Place
-
4.08Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
-
7.64Saginaw Valley State University-2.980.0%1st Place
-
7.57Hillsdale College-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Liu | 18.6% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emerson Becker | 16.6% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 24.7% | 21.9% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lila Torresen | 18.3% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Avery | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 15.4% |
| Megan Pedersen | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 25.5% | 15.4% | 5.1% |
| Finn Mahoney | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 28.9% | 40.0% |
| Alya MacManaway | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 15.0% | 27.6% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.