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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+8.85vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+6.22vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.21vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.63+6.18vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.84vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+3.54vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92+2.22vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71+1.64vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-0.38vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.91vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-0.90vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.80-2.29vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-1.10vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.84vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.14-2.52vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-1.02vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.15vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.89-4.28vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University3.30-7.26vs Predicted
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20Brown University4.30-12.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.54Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.22Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.64Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.1Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.71Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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15.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.48University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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14.98Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.72Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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11.74Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| William Bailey | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| William Macdonald | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Hans Henken | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 32.1% |
| David Harrison | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 24.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.