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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.71+2.13vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.32+0.72vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College-0.86+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.95-0.53vs Predicted
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5Case Western Reserve University-2.62+1.15vs Predicted
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6-1.83-1.03vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-4.46+1.44vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.41-2.00vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.98-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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2.72Miami University-0.320.3%1st Place
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3.35Hillsdale College-0.860.2%1st Place
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3.47University of Michigan-0.950.2%1st Place
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6.15Case Western Reserve University-2.620.0%1st Place
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4.97-1.830.1%1st Place
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8.44Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
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6.0Ohio State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.79Ohio State University-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 22.1% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Coate | 25.4% | 29.2% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Marshall | 17.8% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 17.8% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sylvie Lloyd | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 23.2% | 22.4% | 7.0% |
| Max Liu | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 0.9% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 5.6% | 13.0% | 74.4% |
| Alexa Hind | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 24.1% | 18.8% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Wilkison | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 13.5% | 20.5% | 35.4% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.