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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.32+1.60vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.71+1.29vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College-0.86+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.95-0.54vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.41+0.81vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.98+0.82vs Predicted
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7Case Western Reserve University-2.62-0.67vs Predicted
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8-1.83-3.04vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-4.46-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Miami University-0.320.3%1st Place
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3.29Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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3.35Hillsdale College-0.860.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Michigan-0.950.2%1st Place
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5.81Ohio State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.82Ohio State University-2.980.0%1st Place
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6.33Case Western Reserve University-2.620.0%1st Place
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4.96-1.830.1%1st Place
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8.38Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Coate | 29.8% | 24.6% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 16.1% | 21.8% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Marshall | 19.5% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Ward | 18.0% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Hind | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 22.6% | 16.5% | 5.6% |
| Matthew Wilkison | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 21.1% | 34.3% | 12.8% |
| Sylvie Lloyd | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 24.2% | 25.1% | 7.1% |
| Max Liu | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 1.6% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 13.3% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.