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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.20vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+0.82vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.00vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.08+0.61vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90-1.30vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
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2.82Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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3.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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4.61Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.7George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.67Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 36.3% | 30.2% | 18.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Enzo Menditto | 23.7% | 22.8% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 10.7% | 4.4% |
| Landon Cormie | 18.9% | 20.6% | 22.8% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 3.7% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 25.7% | 36.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.5% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 14.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 25.5% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.