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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+1.89vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.15vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.02vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90-0.40vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.08-0.31vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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2.15U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
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2.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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3.6George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.69Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.7Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 20.8% | 23.9% | 21.0% | 19.1% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 40.4% | 26.2% | 18.0% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 19.1% | 21.8% | 21.5% | 21.0% | 12.6% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.9% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 23.2% | 21.0% | 10.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 27.0% | 39.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 24.6% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.