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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+1.89vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.08+2.60vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.84vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90-1.32vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.6Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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2.16U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
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3.68George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.68Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 21.3% | 22.8% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 25.6% | 37.3% |
| Landon Cormie | 19.6% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 20.5% | 13.4% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 38.1% | 27.4% | 19.5% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 11.7% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 20.7% | 21.4% | 14.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 25.6% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.