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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+0.84vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.02vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90-0.42vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.08-0.32vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
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2.84Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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2.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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3.58George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.68Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.7Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 36.0% | 29.2% | 19.2% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Enzo Menditto | 22.7% | 22.8% | 21.4% | 17.7% | 11.3% | 4.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 19.8% | 20.5% | 21.8% | 21.7% | 12.3% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 12.3% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 21.4% | 10.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 26.4% | 39.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 24.6% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.