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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.22vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.00vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.45-0.18vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90-0.42vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.08-0.33vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
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3.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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2.82Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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3.58George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.67Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.69Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 36.5% | 28.9% | 19.0% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Landon Cormie | 19.5% | 22.1% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 4.8% |
| Enzo Menditto | 22.4% | 21.7% | 22.3% | 21.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 12.5% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 22.9% | 21.4% | 10.6% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 26.4% | 39.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.9% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 24.4% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.