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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.83+2.13vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.31+4.58vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.33+1.20vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.07+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.40+3.53vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.27+2.28vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.28+1.10vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.78-2.49vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.53-0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.98-0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.11-3.14vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.81-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Washington1.8324.9%1st Place
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6.58Western Washington University0.315.5%1st Place
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4.2Western Washington University1.3313.9%1st Place
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4.4University of Washington1.0712.8%1st Place
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8.53University of Oregon-0.401.8%1st Place
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8.28Oregon State University-0.271.9%1st Place
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8.1University of Washington-0.282.6%1st Place
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5.51University of Washington0.787.3%1st Place
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8.55Unknown School-0.532.4%1st Place
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9.6University of Oregon-0.981.2%1st Place
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7.86University of Oregon0.113.2%1st Place
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3.27Western Washington University1.8122.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 24.9% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Adam Turloff | 13.9% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.7% |
| Alice Meng | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% |
| Kirin Dhaka | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| Euseekers Williams | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 33.0% |
| Emily Avey | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| Leif Hauge | 22.5% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.