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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+7.77vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+7.86vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+7.41vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.96vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.14+7.45vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.80+3.59vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+1.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92+0.68vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-0.35vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.70-0.06vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-0.88vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.69vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-1.09vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.89-0.46vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.30-3.18vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.80-6.64vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.14vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.08vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University2.54-4.02vs Predicted
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20Brown University4.30-12.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.45University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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9.59Stanford University3.800.0%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.68Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.12Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.91University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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13.54Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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11.82Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.36Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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15.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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14.98Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.27Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| David Harrison | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Hans Henken | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| William Macdonald | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Michael Grove | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 33.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 21.7% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.