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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.16vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.45-0.19vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90-0.40vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.08-0.31vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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2.16U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
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2.81Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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3.6George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.69Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.7Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 17.9% | 22.9% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 40.2% | 25.8% | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 22.1% | 22.8% | 23.1% | 18.9% | 10.4% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.9% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 23.6% | 20.9% | 10.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 27.3% | 39.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 25.4% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.