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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.18vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+0.55vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.45-1.16vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-0.31vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.08-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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2.18U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
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3.55George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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2.84Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.69Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.7Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 18.4% | 22.0% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 11.4% | 6.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 39.1% | 26.2% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 12.5% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 23.0% | 21.0% | 10.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 21.0% | 22.7% | 24.9% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 2.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 27.1% | 39.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 24.6% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.