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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+1.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.17vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+0.54vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.08+0.62vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.88vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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2.17U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
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3.54George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.62Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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3.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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4.68Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 20.8% | 24.1% | 21.5% | 19.0% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 41.3% | 23.6% | 19.3% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 11.5% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 24.2% | 20.0% | 9.7% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 25.2% | 38.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 17.2% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 7.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 25.6% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.