Race 1A

chesapeake-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Owen Kohut 29.8% 24.1% 17.5% 12.5% 8.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Teddy Martin 11.9% 15.9% 19.3% 15.1% 13.8% 11.2% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7%
Benjamin Smith 18.6% 16.7% 17.1% 13.4% 14.1% 10.1% 7.2% 2.3% 0.5%
Joseph Marynowski 9.6% 10.3% 10.3% 13.8% 14.5% 14.7% 12.2% 10.3% 4.3%
Hugh Carty 11.2% 14.3% 13.6% 14.3% 11.1% 13.0% 11.3% 7.2% 4.0%
Eva Wieting 2.2% 2.3% 3.0% 5.0% 4.4% 7.7% 10.3% 20.1% 45.0%
Olivia Gilmore 4.3% 4.8% 3.4% 9.1% 9.6% 12.2% 17.2% 20.4% 19.0%
Mats Braaten 7.7% 6.4% 9.2% 9.4% 15.9% 11.8% 17.5% 13.9% 8.2%
Tyler Brown 4.7% 5.2% 6.6% 7.4% 8.3% 13.9% 15.1% 21.5% 17.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.