Race 2A

chesapeake-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Owen Kohut 31.0% 22.9% 17.4% 13.5% 7.5% 5.2% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Teddy Martin 13.3% 15.5% 16.7% 16.4% 12.8% 11.1% 8.5% 4.2% 1.5%
Hugh Carty 10.3% 11.4% 12.6% 13.4% 14.8% 13.8% 12.5% 8.2% 3.0%
Benjamin Smith 18.6% 18.1% 18.2% 16.1% 12.3% 7.7% 5.7% 2.8% 0.5%
Mats Braaten 6.4% 8.7% 10.6% 11.8% 12.7% 11.6% 16.3% 13.1% 8.8%
Joseph Marynowski 8.6% 10.2% 11.2% 11.9% 15.3% 15.4% 13.9% 9.7% 3.8%
Eva Wieting 2.0% 3.0% 2.2% 2.9% 5.4% 8.8% 9.8% 17.7% 48.2%
Tyler Brown 5.2% 4.7% 5.8% 7.6% 9.6% 13.1% 16.5% 20.2% 17.3%
Olivia Gilmore 4.6% 5.5% 5.3% 6.4% 9.6% 13.3% 14.6% 23.9% 16.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.