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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.87+2.78vs Predicted
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2George Washington University-0.12+5.61vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.52-0.30vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.97-0.48vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-0.20vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-0.53vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.57-0.68vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.47-3.43vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.61-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78U. S. Naval Academy1.870.2%1st Place
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7.61George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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2.7Georgetown University2.520.3%1st Place
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3.52Georgetown University1.970.2%1st Place
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4.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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5.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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6.32Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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4.57U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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6.22Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Martin | 16.2% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Eva Wieting | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 48.9% |
| Owen Kohut | 29.8% | 23.7% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Smith | 17.0% | 20.0% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 4.3% |
| Mats Braaten | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 8.9% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 20.5% | 21.8% | 15.6% |
| Hugh Carty | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.