Race 4A

chesapeake-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Mats Braaten 6.7% 7.7% 8.7% 10.2% 11.0% 14.8% 16.7% 15.2% 9.0%
Owen Kohut 27.5% 24.6% 17.7% 14.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Joseph Marynowski 7.6% 10.6% 11.4% 11.2% 13.2% 15.8% 15.1% 10.8% 4.3%
Teddy Martin 16.9% 17.1% 18.1% 13.3% 13.8% 9.5% 6.9% 3.1% 1.3%
Eva Wieting 1.7% 2.7% 3.5% 5.7% 5.9% 7.9% 10.9% 16.8% 44.9%
Benjamin Smith 18.1% 18.4% 16.3% 16.5% 13.4% 8.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.7%
Hugh Carty 11.1% 9.5% 13.4% 14.7% 15.4% 13.1% 12.1% 7.5% 3.2%
Olivia Gilmore 4.7% 5.1% 5.3% 7.1% 9.7% 12.0% 15.5% 21.8% 18.8%
Tyler Brown 5.7% 4.3% 5.6% 7.2% 9.8% 13.2% 15.0% 21.6% 17.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.