Race 5A

chesapeake-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Owen Kohut 32.0% 22.0% 16.7% 13.8% 7.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Benjamin Smith 15.0% 17.1% 17.8% 16.6% 11.4% 10.8% 6.5% 3.5% 1.3%
Mats Braaten 5.7% 7.2% 8.6% 11.5% 11.4% 14.0% 17.0% 15.7% 8.9%
Hugh Carty 11.3% 12.7% 13.9% 13.4% 14.2% 14.8% 9.2% 7.9% 2.6%
Olivia Gilmore 4.5% 5.3% 8.4% 7.1% 10.2% 11.8% 14.5% 18.9% 19.3%
Joseph Marynowski 9.2% 10.2% 9.5% 12.5% 15.6% 15.8% 13.1% 10.2% 3.9%
Teddy Martin 15.5% 17.4% 15.3% 15.7% 14.7% 9.2% 8.2% 3.2% 0.8%
Eva Wieting 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 4.0% 4.7% 6.8% 11.1% 19.1% 46.6%
Tyler Brown 4.7% 5.5% 6.8% 5.4% 9.9% 12.2% 18.0% 20.9% 16.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.