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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.52+1.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.87+1.94vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.97+0.59vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+0.81vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+0.35vs Predicted
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6George Washington University-0.12+1.43vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.57-0.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.47-3.44vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.61-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Georgetown University2.520.3%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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3.59Georgetown University1.970.2%1st Place
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4.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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5.35St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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7.43George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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6.37Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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4.56U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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6.24Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Kohut | 29.1% | 25.2% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Martin | 12.8% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Smith | 18.7% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Mats Braaten | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 8.4% |
| Eva Wieting | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 45.6% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 19.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 11.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.