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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+8.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+8.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+6.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+11.88vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.85vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.89+7.81vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+5.21vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95+0.54vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.10vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-1.13vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-1.00vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.36-0.18vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.80-3.19vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.14-1.48vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.70-5.06vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.63-5.82vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.13vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-2.93vs Predicted
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19Brown University4.30-11.88vs Predicted
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20Dartmouth College4.05-11.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.14Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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15.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.81Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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12.21Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.0Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.82University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.81Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.52University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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15.07Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.12Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 34.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| William Macdonald | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| William Bailey | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Hans Henken | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% |
| David Harrison | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Michael Grove | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 22.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.