Race 8A

chesapeake-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Owen Kohut 30.1% 24.2% 16.8% 13.6% 8.1% 4.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Benjamin Smith 14.5% 18.4% 18.0% 14.3% 12.4% 11.0% 6.9% 3.2% 1.3%
Teddy Martin 17.3% 14.4% 16.2% 15.7% 13.3% 10.7% 8.7% 3.0% 0.7%
Joseph Marynowski 8.8% 11.3% 11.4% 11.8% 16.1% 12.2% 12.9% 10.9% 4.6%
Mats Braaten 6.7% 8.6% 10.6% 11.6% 11.3% 13.4% 16.0% 13.5% 8.3%
Olivia Gilmore 4.5% 4.2% 6.2% 7.9% 8.8% 13.4% 16.4% 22.1% 16.5%
Eva Wieting 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 4.8% 7.2% 11.1% 18.3% 48.2%
Tyler Brown 5.5% 3.9% 6.2% 7.7% 9.9% 12.7% 15.5% 21.0% 17.6%
Hugh Carty 10.6% 12.3% 11.8% 14.5% 15.3% 14.9% 10.3% 7.6% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.