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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+4.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.20+1.51vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+2.07vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.97-0.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.70-0.88vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.52-3.23vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.61-0.69vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.57-1.67vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.35-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Naval Academy2.200.2%1st Place
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5.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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3.6Georgetown University1.970.2%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Naval Academy1.700.1%1st Place
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2.77Georgetown University2.520.3%1st Place
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6.31Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.33Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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7.74George Washington University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Braaten | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 7.3% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 15.6% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 3.6% |
| Benjamin Smith | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Leo Robillard | 13.2% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Owen Kohut | 28.7% | 22.8% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 25.5% | 13.6% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 21.1% | 17.9% |
| Sam Schuhwerk | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.