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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.84vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-1.05+1.52vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.50vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.14-0.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-3.08+1.09vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-2.45-0.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Columbia University0.450.5%1st Place
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3.52Hamilton College-1.050.1%1st Place
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2.5SUNY Maritime College-0.230.2%1st Place
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3.64SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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5.39Webb Institute-2.450.0%1st Place
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5.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 49.3% | 28.0% | 14.3% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Renata Altuzar Barcenas | 10.0% | 16.3% | 22.8% | 25.3% | 15.7% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 23.5% | 32.9% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 9.6% | 13.4% | 22.5% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 9.2% | 1.5% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 20.7% | 55.7% |
| Rowan Whitmeyer | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 21.9% | 29.0% | 26.2% |
| Alden Hughes | 4.1% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 25.2% | 30.7% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.