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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.64vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.81vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.14-0.92vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-3.08+0.13vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-2.45-1.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64Columbia University0.450.5%1st Place
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2.19SUNY Maritime College-0.230.3%1st Place
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3.08SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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4.59Webb Institute-2.450.0%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 54.1% | 31.3% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 29.1% | 37.1% | 22.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 11.1% | 17.3% | 36.7% | 23.7% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 14.0% | 23.7% | 52.3% |
| Rowan Whitmeyer | 1.8% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 21.7% | 33.9% | 26.5% |
| Alden Hughes | 3.0% | 4.9% | 14.1% | 28.5% | 30.5% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.