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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.77vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-1.14+1.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy-3.08+2.78vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24+0.92vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.23-2.49vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-1.05-2.57vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-3.44-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Columbia University0.450.5%1st Place
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3.49SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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2.51SUNY Maritime College-0.230.2%1st Place
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3.43Hamilton College-1.050.1%1st Place
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6.1Webb Institute-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 51.0% | 29.2% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 10.1% | 14.2% | 25.2% | 26.5% | 16.5% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.8% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 14.2% | 34.1% | 36.7% |
| Alden Hughes | 2.0% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 31.5% | 27.4% | 10.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 22.1% | 33.5% | 22.6% | 15.1% | 6.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Renata Altuzar Barcenas | 11.9% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 26.9% | 18.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Bud Aichele | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 26.9% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.