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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.78vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.23+0.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24+1.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-3.08+1.85vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.14-1.42vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-1.05-2.59vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-3.44-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Columbia University0.450.5%1st Place
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2.45SUNY Maritime College-0.230.2%1st Place
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4.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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3.58SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
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3.41Hamilton College-1.050.1%1st Place
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6.06Webb Institute-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 50.0% | 29.4% | 14.5% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 24.2% | 32.5% | 24.8% | 13.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alden Hughes | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 33.8% | 24.3% | 11.5% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 35.4% | 36.4% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 9.2% | 13.7% | 23.5% | 27.2% | 18.0% | 7.1% | 1.3% |
| Renata Altuzar Barcenas | 10.9% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 26.3% | 16.5% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Bud Aichele | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 26.1% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.