← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.17vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University0.45-0.38vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24+1.25vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-1.14-0.93vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15-0.71vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-3.08-1.83vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute-4.55-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17SUNY Maritime College-0.230.3%1st Place
-
1.62Columbia University0.450.5%1st Place
-
4.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
-
3.07SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
-
5.29Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
-
5.17U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
-
6.43Webb Institute-4.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lunati | 28.9% | 36.5% | 25.0% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 53.8% | 33.5% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Hughes | 4.4% | 5.3% | 13.8% | 33.4% | 27.4% | 11.9% | 3.8% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 10.4% | 18.7% | 37.0% | 23.3% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 14.6% | 25.3% | 35.4% | 15.6% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.4% | 2.2% | 6.8% | 15.4% | 28.1% | 33.7% | 12.4% |
| Sophia Tolkacheva | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.