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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+7.84vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+7.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+7.10vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.30+7.88vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.89+8.61vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+9.16vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+3.42vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+2.07vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.13vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.80-0.53vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.92-1.96vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.89-2.66vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-3.83vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.36-2.56vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.68vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.05-7.72vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.08vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.88vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida3.14-6.54vs Predicted
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20Brown University4.30-12.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.88Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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13.61Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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15.16Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.42Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.47Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.34Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.17Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.44University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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15.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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12.46University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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7.29Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 22.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Hans Henken | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| William Macdonald | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 34.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Michael Grove | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| David Harrison | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.