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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.69+1.52vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.45+0.24vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-1.03-0.02vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-2.48+0.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39-1.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-4.61+0.67vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-3.05-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Columbia University-0.690.3%1st Place
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2.24Webb Institute-0.450.4%1st Place
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2.98SUNY Maritime College-1.030.2%1st Place
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4.84SUNY Stony Brook-2.480.0%1st Place
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3.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Military Academy-4.610.0%1st Place
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5.3Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 27.8% | 27.5% | 21.4% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Woods | 35.8% | 26.9% | 20.8% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Embry | 18.6% | 20.2% | 24.1% | 21.6% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Mahmodol Mojumder | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 16.2% | 32.2% | 30.4% | 5.9% |
| Carson Totino | 11.8% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 26.3% | 18.8% | 6.3% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 4.5% | 11.8% | 80.5% |
| Reid Chapman | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 20.7% | 45.7% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.