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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute-0.45+1.25vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.69+0.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39+0.38vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-1.03-1.07vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-2.80+0.09vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-3.05-0.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-4.61-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Webb Institute-0.450.4%1st Place
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2.48Columbia University-0.690.3%1st Place
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3.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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2.93SUNY Maritime College-1.030.2%1st Place
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5.09SUNY Stony Brook-2.800.0%1st Place
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5.35Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Military Academy-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Woods | 36.4% | 27.4% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 26.8% | 29.0% | 22.9% | 13.8% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Carson Totino | 11.9% | 15.9% | 23.0% | 27.5% | 15.5% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Embry | 19.6% | 19.8% | 24.8% | 22.1% | 11.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Musso | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 31.5% | 33.7% | 10.9% |
| Reid Chapman | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 25.7% | 41.0% | 14.5% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 6.7% | 14.6% | 73.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.