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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-2.03+3.40vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.69+0.65vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-1.03+0.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39-0.34vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.45-2.57vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-2.48-0.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-4.61-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Hamilton College-2.030.1%1st Place
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2.65Columbia University-0.690.3%1st Place
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3.1SUNY Maritime College-1.030.2%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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2.43Webb Institute-0.450.3%1st Place
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5.08SUNY Stony Brook-2.480.0%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Military Academy-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Jiganti | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 26.3% | 24.8% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 25.9% | 25.6% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Embry | 17.2% | 19.7% | 23.8% | 20.7% | 12.7% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Carson Totino | 12.1% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 12.3% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Woods | 33.5% | 24.6% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mahmodol Mojumder | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 21.4% | 45.1% | 8.2% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 84.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.