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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.69+1.61vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-2.03+2.47vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-1.03+0.12vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.45-1.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39-1.35vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-2.48-0.96vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-4.61-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Columbia University-0.690.3%1st Place
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4.47Hamilton College-2.030.1%1st Place
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3.12SUNY Maritime College-1.030.2%1st Place
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2.4Webb Institute-0.450.3%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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5.04SUNY Stony Brook-2.480.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Military Academy-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 27.6% | 26.1% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Jiganti | 6.7% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 28.5% | 26.6% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Embry | 18.1% | 20.2% | 21.0% | 20.4% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Woods | 32.0% | 25.5% | 20.7% | 15.0% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Carson Totino | 10.9% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 22.8% | 20.2% | 11.0% | 1.5% |
| Mahmodol Mojumder | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 43.6% | 8.8% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.