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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.69+1.82vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.45+0.56vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.28-0.67vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-2.80+1.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39-1.17vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-2.38-0.84vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-3.05-0.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-4.61-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Columbia University-0.690.2%1st Place
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2.56Webb Institute-0.450.3%1st Place
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2.33SUNY Maritime College-0.280.3%1st Place
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5.74SUNY Stony Brook-2.800.0%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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5.16Stevens Institute of Technology-2.380.0%1st Place
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6.06Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Military Academy-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 21.6% | 24.1% | 23.0% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Woods | 27.0% | 25.0% | 24.3% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Cunha | 33.7% | 26.9% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Musso | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 17.4% | 27.9% | 27.3% | 9.3% |
| Carson Totino | 9.2% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 25.5% | 20.6% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Yang Yi Zheng | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 24.1% | 25.4% | 17.8% | 3.6% |
| Reid Chapman | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 23.4% | 36.5% | 12.8% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 14.4% | 74.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.